Trinomics, as lead partner, in collaboration with TNO, has been awarded a study contract by the European Environment Agency. The team will carry out an assessment of the extent to which the thermal power sector in Member States and the EU has the potential to facilitate the necessary transition towards long-term EU energy and climate objectives. The aim of this project is to compare the evolution of the thermal power sector until 2050, obtained in a bottom-up fashion, with projections from EU decarbonisation scenarios, so as to quantify potential mismatches, discrepancies and lock-in risks over time. The assessment concerns the evolution of the power sector up to 2050 based on a detailed assessment of the current power plant fleet in the EU-28. The assessment includes thermal power stations in the power sector larger than 200 MW. The main project outcomes concern the real operating lifetime of the plants, the detailed retirement plans, GHG emission profiles and comparison with available carbon budgets and observations regarding the anticipated fleet structure, retirement rates and capacity requirements.

If you have any questions or comments, don’t hesitate to contact Jeroen van der Laan.